I’ve always had a soft spot for the 80s band, Mike and the Mechanics, and especially, the song, I Believe. It’s a catchy tune with to me, amusing lyrics, with the coda of “I believe in most everything.” As someone who tends to believe in almost nothing that isn’t based in hard evidence (other than the essential goodness of humankind, of course), it somehow made me understand the power of belief.
Belief is important or at least faith is. Take for example, a recent breakthrough in a lab in British Columbia where scientists have managed to isolate a superheated plasma behind a spinning vortex of liquid metal. It is, they say, a critical step in creating a commercial fusion reactor. My favorite part of the story, apart from the image of metal vortex, was their faith that they will be able to have shovels in the ground by the end of the decade. You would need faith to include the oldest joke in physics (Fusion power is just ten years away, and always will be) into your announcement of imminent success.
But at least their faith is based on something real, an accomplishment they can point to and say: see it is possible, we’ve done this so there must be a next step.
For me, most expressions of faith (summarized in Shakespeare in Love as “I don’t know, it’s a miracle.”) immediately sets me looking for the man behind the curtain and by man, I don’t mean God or even a wizard, I mean a trickster or, not to put too fine a point on it, a charlatan. Don’t get me wrong, I like a good magic show as well as the next guy. Make an elephant appear on stage and I’ll applaud; make a card change its suit, right in front of my eyes, I’ll be flabbergasted.
But I still know it’s nothing but a trick based almost entirely on misdirection and the persistence of vision, with maybe a few technical assists. With enough skill, you can, to cherry pick Lincoln, fool all of the people some of the time.
There is, despite UFO conspiracy theorists, no hard evidence of intelligent life beyond this planet (yeah, I know, not a lot of it for intelligent life on this planet). Those who are convinced it must exist, respond that the absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.
Yet, it is one simple step to say the absence of evidence is evidence of presence. And there you are, right in the heart of conspiracy country. You know the place: the country of the blind where the one-eyed man is king. They follow that one-eyed man literally because they have blind faith. And if he leads them over a cliff, they will be happy lemmings believing they can fly, until they hit the bottom.
Studies show that people who wrap themselves in conspiracy lack critical thinking skills. Gosh, now there’s a study result that comes as a surprise. It’s not their fault entirely—nobody chooses to be a dupe. In fact it often takes considerable evidence by parents, pastors, teachers and trolls to get people into the most unhuman of conditions: incuriosity. How did that 4-year old who never stopped asking why turn into someone willing to swallow not just the big lie but all the little ones that precede it?
I don’t know. It’s a mystery.
Maybe we need to do like they do in Finland and teach critical thinking in kindergarten. And for the adults, perhaps a quick lesson in card tricks is in order. Maybe if they see how easy it is to fool others, they will realize how easy it was to be fooled.
Well, that’s what I believe anyway.
In the meantime, if mystery is what you’re after, try In the Shadow of Versailles, set in 1919 Paris.
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